Sunday, September 21, 2008

Options Theta - Option Time Decay








Options Theta - Definition
Options Theta measures the daily rate of depreciation of a stock option's price with the underlying stock remaining stagnant.
Options Theta - Introduction
In layman terms, Theta is that options greek which tells you how much an option's price will diminish over time, which is the rate of time decay of stock options. Time decay is a well known phenomena in options trading where the value of options reduces over time even though the underlying stock remains stagnant. Time decay occurs because the extrinsic value, which is also known as the Time Value, of options diminishes as expiration draws nearer. By expiration, options would have completely no extrinsic value and all Out Of The Money (OTM) Options would expire worthless. The rate of this daily decay all the way up to its expiration is estimated by the Options Theta value. Understanding Options Theta is extremely important for the application of options strategies that seeks to profit from time decay.
Options Theta -Characteristics
Positive & Negative Options Theta Values Options Theta values are either positive or negative. All long stock options positions have negative Theta values, which indicates that they lose value as expiration draws nearer. All short stock options positions have positive Theta values, which indicates that the position is gaining value as expiration draws nearer.
Options Theta & Options Moneyness
Options Theta value is highest for At The Money (ATM) options and progressively lower for In The Money (ITM) and Out Of The Money (OTM) as ITM and OTM options have much lower extrinsic values, giving little left to decay. Learn all about Options Moneyness.
Different For Call & Put Options
At the money call and put options sharing the same strike price and expiration date has different theta values. Unlike delta where it is the same 0.5 for both at the money call and put options, Option Theta varies according to the cost of carry of the underlying stock.
Options Theta - Who Should Be Concerned?
Options Theta is an extremely important measurement for the execution of Theta based neutral options trading strategies that aims to profit from the decay of extrinsic value or Time Decay. Such options trading strategies include the well known Calendar Call Spread and all its variants. Options traders utilizing such options trading strategies must make sure that the aggregate theta values of those positions are positive in order to turn a profit. Options traders speculating a moderate, short term move in the underlying stock must make sure that options or options positions are bought with as low a negative options theta as possible so that time decay do not completely offset the profits on those small or moderate moves. Conversely, Options Theta is a lot lesser of a concern for anyone utilizing directional options trading strategies such as Bull Call Spreads where a position is held all the way to expiration. In this case, Options Delta and Gamma would take centre stage instead. These kind of options traders simply take the entire extrinsic value as an expense and build it into the calculation for breakeven point, therefore, how fast that extrinsic value erodes away becomes of secondary concern.








Options Theta - An Indication Of Time Decay
Options Theta measures exactly how much money an option will lose with the underlying stock remaining stagnant on a daily basis. An option contract with Options Theta of -0.012 will lose $0.012 every day even on weekends and market holidays. This is why options traders utilizing neutral options trading strategies love to put on these positions ahead of long weekends where they get 3 safe and free days of decay profits. Conversely, this works against the trader who bought those stock options. If those options contract has options theta of -0.012 and a price of $1.40, the holder will come back after a 3 days long weekend to find the price of those options at $1.36 instead. Time decay always work against buyers and benefits writers of options. This is because both long call and long put options produces negative Options Theta. Negative options Theta diminishes the price of the options and consequently the value of the position. Many options trading strategies sells out of the money options on top of buying at the money or in the money options in order to partially offset the negative theta, resulting in a lower rate of time decay. An example of such an options trading strategy is Bull Call Spread. Options theta does not remain stagnant as well. Options theta increases as expiration draws nearer and decreases as the options go more and more In The Money or Out Of The Money. In fact, the effects of Options Theta decay is most pronounced during the final 30 days to expiration where theta really soars. That is why options traders usually avoid trading options with less than 30 days left to expiration.
Type Theta value Effect Of Time Decay...
Long Call Option Negative Negative
Short Call Option Positive Positive
Long Put Option Negative Negative
Short Put Option Positive Positive







Options Theta - Relationship with Options Gamma
Options Theta is directly proportional to options gamma. The higher the Gamma, the higher the Theta. High risk = high gains. High options gamma results in exponentially higher profits when the stock moves strongly but comes also with higher theta which decays the price of the option much faster. If that anticipated big move does not happen quickly, the option could lose a lot of money. Therefore, when one chooses such an aggressive option position, one must also take into consideration the higher risk involved due to higher Options Theta. Such balancing of potential risks over potential reward is actually prevalent in every aspects of options trading. There is never a free lunch.
Factors Affecting Options Theta
2 main factors influence the value of options Theta; Time to expiration and Options Moneyness. In general, Options Theta decreases as options go more and more in the money (ITM) / out of the money (OTM) and is highest when at the money (ATM). Options Theta also increases as expiration approaches. Knowing that nearer term at the money stock options have a higher Theta value than longer term options of the same strike price allows you to choose the correct option in order to optimize profits for your expected holding period. If you expect the stock to move but not anytime soon, you should buy options that is as far from expiration as reasonable so as to reduce the effects of time decay.
Calculating Aggregate Options Theta
When you have a portfolio with many different stock options positions on a single stock, it is useful to know how much your overall portfolio is affected by time decay. You do this by aggregating the total options Theta in your portfolio. When aggregate options theta is negative, you know that your portfolio depends on the market moving very quickly in your favor in order to return a profit and when aggregate options theta is positive, you know that your portfolio will do well if the market remains relatively stagnant. Calculating aggregate options Theta is very simple. You simply list out all the Theta value of all options in your portfolio and sum them together will do.
Sample Options Trading Portfolio 1
Option Position Theta
2 contracts of XYZ $25Call -2.4
10 contracts of XYZ $60Put 1
Aggregate Options Theta -1.4
In Sample Options Trading Portfolio 1, the portfolio would profit if XYZ shares move strongly because it has an aggregate options Theta of -1.4, which is a negative value. You will need to calculate the aggregate options delta in order to know which direction of move is needed to produce a profit.